Archive for February, 2003

The fish is dead

Friday, February 28th, 2003

A picture named dedfish.gifWall Street Journal:RHC Media Inc. has decided to shutter its Red Herring magazine, according to a person familiar with the matter, ending a 10-year period in which Red Herring was a pioneering force in the market for “New Economy” magazines.

Moblogs

Thursday, February 27th, 2003

Dave Davies (to whom I owe many scripting debts of gratitude) has posted a Mobile Blogging How-to Guide.

Day old fish- 99% off

Thursday, February 27th, 2003

A picture named dedherring.jpgThe nearly last of the true New-Economy believers, Red Herring, is being shopped around after restructuring in December, reportedly for a $2 million asking price–when its owners once apparently rebuffed offers of 100 times that by Time Inc. (before Time bought Business 2.0.

Herring once boasted issues with 682 pages(that's a lot of lutefisk). I don't know how many pages it is now; I let my print subscription lapse long ago, around the same time Rafe Needleman got the heave-ho (though there's no particular connection between those two events).

RH survived the demise of Upside and The Industry Standard, but is apparently destined for the recycling heap. Fast Company and Wired seem to have transitioned from the New Economy zeitgeist with some pain, but in better shape than the spawning redfish, which now appears to be completing its lifecycle. Maybe they should have called the magazine “Red Salmon”–it seems to be getting devoured by the Bears like one.

Sun Going Supernova?

Thursday, February 27th, 2003

A lot of folks in thetech media, including yours truly, have speculated about the fate of Sun Microsystems. As someone who's dealt with Sun on many levels over the past 12 years, I think it's safe to say that Sun is not going to just roll over and go under the horizon anytime soon–it's just not their style, and they have too much cash in the bank to go out with a whimper.

The problems Sun faces are nothing new–they're just magnified by the current market climate. Somehow, the company managed to generate enough forward momentum during the dot-com boom to grow its business dramatically. But the company has never done an effective job of selling software. Now, with so much of its future riding on software,that's become a real big problem.

I drank the Java Kool-Aid a few years back when I took over a Java developers' magazine. J2EE did it for me; it was my belief in 1999 that the desktop was becoming more and more irrelavent from a business software point of view, and that Java offered the best path to the Web for business developers. But I never really completely bought Java as a desktop technology outside of a limited cross-platform development domain, and I didn't hold out much hope for Java on mobile devices and cell phones either.

Scott MacNealy firmed up my thinking for me when he dissed software as a business. “You don't buy software to control your right turn signal,” he said at a Gartner conference. Sun software execs winced.

MacNealy has never “gotten” software. He's a hardware guy. Java wasn't a product–it was, in the automobile industry's language (which MacNealy is so familiar with) “content”–another feature that would help Sun sell servers.

For all its work on Java, Sun never successfully produced a good set of developer tools for Java on its own–because, quite frankly, its development tools have always sucked (as anyone who has used Sun Workshop dev tools can testify to). This is why most Java development in the first few years of Java's history was done in vi (or, for the wannabes doing Java on Windows in the early days, Notepad). Sun acquired developer tools from Netscape, Forte (and Forte's tool is pretty good), but then it didn't know how to market them well.

To put it bluntly, as one Sun employee once said to me, “This company couldn't market its way out of a wet paper bag.” While it captured developer mindshare with Java, it failed to turn that mindshare into a lasting commercial relationship; instead, it has to rely on Java licensees to generate most of its Java bucks.

Then came XML, which, despite Sun's claims of intellectual authorship of XML, it failed to capitalize on XML or web services quickly. Theopen source community (and IBM) did much of the grunt work of making XML and web services connect to Java successfully. Software politics, intellectual property concerns, and plain old intrangisence managed to keep Sun away early and lock Sun out of the WS-I later.

Now, as Sun tries to deal with the threat of commodity hardware and software (in the form of Linux and Intel), it's selling itself as a systems integration and services company. To succeed, Sun needs to change its nature. Like a star that's spent all its hydrogen, Sun has to find something else to keep it burning. If it fails to do so, it may have to look outside for its continued survival, or go out with a big bang.

Tuesday, February 25th, 2003

So, I'm off early next week to the BEA e-World conference in allegedly sunny Orlando. There Sunday night through Tuesday morning. We'll see whether Java is really as endangered as Sun makes it out to be in court.

Nintendo dreams

Thursday, February 13th, 2003

A picture named Kevin-stressing.jpgMy son, Kevin, age 12, has a dream. He dreams that Nintendo will use the ideas he is feverishly developing with a team of two other 6th graders, an 8th grader, and his nearly 9-year old brother for a future incarnation of the Zelda series of video games. And all he asks is that he get a free copy of the game when it's done.

He sent an e-mail to Shigeru Miyamoto (he googled his e-mail address) outlining his ideas. He plans to storyboard the entire game concept; he has assigned friends to design different elements of the game, including bosses and mini-bosses, weapons and landscapes. He has mapped out an island, and has written a central narrative. And he is hopeful that Shigeru-san will respond to his e-mail, and eventually adapt his ideas into 3-D rendered virtual reality.

My son dreams big.

I've tried to lower his expectations somewhat, without dashing his obvious enthusiasm. My wife was more blunt. “Everybody's so negative,” he said to me in tearful frustration last night. “I'm not getting any support.” So I tell him that it's good to dream, that he should keep it up, and have fun with it. But he says, “What's the point if it's not going to happen?”

My son has yet to experience the collapse of a dream as big as this. He's had some smaller dreams fulfilled, and others turn out to be less than what he expected when he actually got to execute them. He complains that his two weeks away with the Chesapeake Bay Foundation this past summer were too hot, and the bugs too bloodthirsty.

There are few things that I can get him to muster any enthusiasm about. But this one, he's latched onto it. He's in charge, directing others toward his vision. And he can't stand to think that it won't work out.

So what do I tell him?

I can only offer him my support, and advice. Anything else, he sees as tearing down his dream.

There's something so 1997 about all this.

The SBT Barcode Blues

Monday, February 10th, 2003

I was talking to the president of a magazine and paperback distribution company today about the evils of scan-based trading–that peculiar financial/technological relationship that retailers like Wal-Mart, Target and Kroger's (as well as KMart, if it ever pulls out of its death spiral and deploys it past the stores piloting the technology) use to squeeze the blood out of the supply-chain stone .

Here's how it works:

Once upon a time, a distributor or supplier would deliver goods to a retailer, and invoice them for them. The retailer would take ownership of the goods, and sell them; the two parties would negotiate compensation for unsold or damaged inventory, but the inventory was carried on the retailer's books.

With SBT, a retailer doesn't take ownership of the goods until they're sold; the distributor doesn't get paid until a product gets sold and is scanned at the the register. An invoice gets generated when the scan info is sent to the supplier/distributor by an electronic message at the end of the day.

This is great for retailers–they lose the financial risks of carrying inventory, and pass those costs back to the supplier. They don't pay for anything that doesn't get scanned (so anything that gets shoplifted, mis-scanned or otherwise leaves in an undocumented fashion gets deducted from the supplier's take). And the retailer can see daily what's selling, using that information to drive supplier restock and cut off products that aren't making their numbers.

Often, the retailers also place display responsibility on the suppliers too–they have to come in and set up displays, handle restocking and otherwise maintain their products in-store.

So WalMart and Target are effectively in the real estate business–they take a cut of the sales on products for letting them sit on their shelves.

You could see where this could be unpopular with suppliers. It gets even more unpopular when the retailer's software doesn't correctly credit them with sales.

More to come on this….

Cascading Style Stupidity

Saturday, February 8th, 2003

Another reason to hate Internet Explorer.

The CSS I put together for several sites renders perfectly in Safari, Mozilla and Opera. But it gets hosed in IE–and it gets hosed in different ways, depending on whether I'm using IE for Windows 2000, XP or Mac. It's like someone at MS said, “Which way should we break stylesheets for this platform?”

Talk about buzzword-compliant …

Thursday, February 6th, 2003

I got the following teaser about a product announcement today from an eager PR professional. And hell if I know what the product is. See if you can guess what it does:

We are announcing a new technology platform called [product name].
This will provide customers with unprecedented flexibility in adapting
[company name] solutions to both their initial requirements and to adapt to
changes that are occurring at an ever-faster pace in the marketplace. This
enables faster implementations, easier adaptation to changing business
requirements and a lower total cost of ownership. The new platform combines
existing leading edge technology with new capabilities.

Jeremy spoke in (his weblog) today

Thursday, February 6th, 2003

Apologies to Eddie Vedder.

Jeremy Allaireannounced on his blog that he is leaving Macromedia to take a job with a venture capital firm. The Allaire founder became CTO of Macromedia after it merged with the company two years ago. The question is, is he leaving just because he's got a job in VC, or is he leaving to avoid becoming a Microsoft employee?